Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 3.764931 4.040571 4.334550 4.672787 5.052916 5.468943 5.961455
2025-04-20 3.278455 3.659569 4.091811 4.623821 5.268789 6.035869 7.033655
2025-04-27 3.052028 3.502338 4.036067 4.726868 5.615245 6.746164 8.342322
2025-05-04 2.887694 3.385710 3.996847 4.820818 5.934353 7.438882 9.728225
2025-05-11 2.714855 3.235496 3.891702 4.805383 6.090834 7.916641 10.884527
2025-05-18 2.561339 3.093628 3.779490 4.760705 6.189874 8.311908 11.978485
2025-05-25 2.400315 2.928658 3.621003 4.632530 6.146787 8.477475 12.716415
2025-06-01 2.274117 2.800650 3.501467 4.545751 6.150428 8.708370 13.606992
2025-06-08 2.194089 2.728972 3.452871 4.554830 6.297593 9.187619 15.065942
2025-06-15 2.140186 2.688931 3.444411 4.620289 6.537596 9.856645 17.083995
2025-06-22 2.026735 2.559922 3.300642 4.467299 6.401264 9.829572 17.591352
2025-06-29 1.934485 2.456413 3.188108 4.354482 6.320965 9.893965 18.326048
2025-07-06 1.851086 2.364935 3.092910 4.269730 6.293801 10.081815 19.490880
2025-07-13 1.784538 2.295181 3.026989 4.228486 6.341718 10.432487 21.227692
2025-07-20 1.757032 2.280154 3.041590 4.318489 6.635160 11.340717 24.931569
2025-07-27 1.729369 2.263112 3.051432 4.400318 6.922363 12.296966 29.374061
2025-08-03 1.681493 2.213639 3.007874 4.386886 7.023072 12.848515 32.820195
2025-08-10 1.631278 2.158434 2.952267 4.347983 7.068048 13.275625 36.114305
2025-08-17 1.568444 2.081759 2.859006 4.236232 6.952855 13.280900 37.672253
2025-08-24 1.517074 2.020761 2.788251 4.160451 6.905423 13.455813 40.175702
2025-08-31 1.486214 1.989986 2.764731 4.168384 7.035708 14.133897 45.816890
2025-09-07 1.466983 1.976284 2.768119 4.225548 7.278977 15.189199 54.952060
2025-09-14 1.411467 1.904282 2.672497 4.091856 7.083941 14.923198 55.566385